Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001688 0.001798 0.001912 0.002039 0.002176 0.002321 0.002484
2025-01-19 0.001512 0.001666 0.001831 0.002023 0.002241 0.002480 0.002764
2025-01-26 0.001349 0.001522 0.001714 0.001945 0.002215 0.002522 0.002900
2025-02-02 0.001296 0.001494 0.001719 0.001996 0.002331 0.002724 0.003224
2025-02-09 0.001246 0.001461 0.001713 0.002030 0.002422 0.002895 0.003517
2025-02-16 0.001230 0.001467 0.001750 0.002114 0.002575 0.003147 0.003921
2025-02-23 0.001176 0.001423 0.001721 0.002113 0.002620 0.003263 0.004154
2025-03-02 0.001101 0.001347 0.001649 0.002051 0.002581 0.003266 0.004236
2025-03-09 0.001043 0.001289 0.001595 0.002010 0.002566 0.003297 0.004353
2025-03-16 0.001005 0.001256 0.001572 0.002006 0.002597 0.003389 0.004558
2025-03-23 0.000963 0.001215 0.001536 0.001982 0.002600 0.003441 0.004707
2025-03-30 0.000930 0.001183 0.001510 0.001972 0.002619 0.003515 0.004889
2025-04-06 0.000883 0.001135 0.001464 0.001935 0.002607 0.003556 0.005041
2025-04-13 0.000846 0.001099 0.001434 0.001920 0.002625 0.003639 0.005266
2025-04-20 0.000792 0.001037 0.001364 0.001846 0.002554 0.003589 0.005279
2025-04-27 0.000783 0.001036 0.001381 0.001894 0.002664 0.003813 0.005738
2025-05-04 0.000769 0.001029 0.001385 0.001926 0.002749 0.004004 0.006158
2025-05-11 0.000771 0.001042 0.001421 0.002004 0.002910 0.004322 0.006812
2025-05-18 0.000749 0.001021 0.001405 0.002003 0.002947 0.004444 0.007141
2025-05-25 0.000712 0.000977 0.001353 0.001945 0.002891 0.004410 0.007193
2025-06-01 0.000682 0.000942 0.001315 0.001907 0.002864 0.004422 0.007326
2025-06-08 0.000664 0.000924 0.001299 0.001903 0.002892 0.004527 0.007636
2025-06-15 0.000642 0.000899 0.001273 0.001881 0.002888 0.004578 0.007847